Opposition alliance could cross BJP tally in Jharkhand

Agencies
November 28, 2019

New Delhi, Nov 28: The ruling BJP is expected to be the highest vote getter in Jharkhand, winning between 28 and 38 seats, but the opposition alliance of Congress-JMM together with RJD could give the BJP a tough fight, says the IANS-CVoter Jharkhand Opinion Poll.

According to the opinion poll, though the BJP is the most favoured party in the state, it might not make the winning figure of 41 seats needed to form the government in the 81-member state Assembly.

Ahead of the five-phased Jharkhand elections set to begin on November 30, the opinion poll says that opposition Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) could come a close second to the BJP, winning between 18 and 28 seats.

Its alliance partner Congress could get between 4 and 10 seats. The Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) is unlikely to make a major presence in the state and its seat projection is not listed separately in the opinion poll. For the record, these parties had fought the last Jharkhand Assembly elections separately.

Taking a mid-range in seat projections, the opinion poll for the tracker month of November shows that the JMM (23 seats), Congress (7 seats) -- RJD's seat projection has not been given separately -- could go head-to-head with the BJP mid-range seat projection of 33 seats.

The seat projection for the All Jharkhand Students Union (AJSU), with which the BJP was in alliance in 2014 but the two are contesting separately this time, is 3 to 9 seats (mid-range 6 seats). In the event of a close contest, this parting of ways may prove costly for the BJP.

The seats projection for the Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (JVM) is 3 to 9 seats, like the AJSU. The JVM is not in alliance with any party in these polls.

"The Tracking Poll Fieldwork covers random probability samples taken during the last 7 days from the release date. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll bound state," said Team CVoter.

It added: "For the analytics, we are using our proprietary algorithm to calculate the provincial and regional vote share based on the split-voter phenomenon. Same algorithm is used to extrapolate the vote share projections into probable seat share in range. However, it must be underlined here that the science of any polls survey stops at vote share estimate. The vote to seat conversion is just an arithmetic extrapolation in probabilities. The seat share projections are NOT part of Survey Science and all MoE are applicable ONLY on the vote share estimates."

There are political bruises on either side. While AJSU has broken away from the BJP, and is fighting the elections alone, the JVM, which was part of the opposition alliance, has broken off this time. However, if it joins hands with the Congress-JMM-RJD combine, the Babulal Marandi-led JVM could give the alliance much-needed seats.

Taking the higher poll projections, if the JMM (28 seats), Congress (10 seats), JVM (9 seats) and RJD join hands, they could easily form the government.

The BJP, with the higher seat projection of 38 seats, would be near the half-way mark but still fall short, unless it decides to get back with the AJSU.

In the 2014 elections, the BJP had won 37 seats, and the AJSU 5. The two parties -- with 42 seats -- aligned to rule Jharkhand.

The JMM had 19 seats, the Congress 6, and the JVM had 8, taking their combined tally to 33 seats. The rest 6 seats were won by other parties.

The five-phased Jharkhand elections are to be held from November 30 to December 20. Results will be declared on December 23.

The survey was conducted in November across a sample size of 8,923 eligible voters.

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News Network
May 24,2020

New Delhi, May 24: Overwhelmed by the donations that poured in from the society for his help, Phool Mia, the fruit seller in north Delhi's Jagatpuri area whose mangoes were looted by the ordinary people, said that those who helped him have made his "Eid" and have shown that "humanity is still alive".

Video footage that went viral on social media, shows that scores of passers-by looted the unattended crates of mangoes of a fruit seller after a fight broke out in the neighbourhood. The incident took place on Wednesday.

"My stock of mangoes worth Rs 30,000 was kept there. Some persons were fighting with each other fearing which I left the place to avoid any sort of altercation. When I returned, I saw that they were looting the mangoes kept there. There were 50-100 people who were involved in this act," Phool Mia, narrated the ordeal.

"A video got viral about the incident after which people donated to me on a portal. They empathised with me when I was ruined. I thank the media and all those people who have donated from the bottom of my heart as they made my Eid. Now, I would be able to celebrate Eid with my children. This shows humanity is still alive," he added.

However, four people have been arrested on the basis of video footage, Delhi Police said.

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Agencies
August 6,2020

Thiruvananthapuram, Aug 6 : Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan has said that Congress is known for adopting a soft Hindutva agenda and that there was nothing new in the remarks of Priyanka Gandhi Vadra and Rahul Gandhi on Ayodhya temple construction.

"I am not surprised regarding, Priyanka Gandhi's remark on Ayodhya. From Rajiv Gandhi and Narasimha Rao, Congress had followed a similar stance. I don't think Congress has any stand when it comes to secularism. 

If it was the case, then our country would not have reached such a level," the chief minister said when asked about the 'Bhumi Pujan' ceremony at the Ram temple in Ayodhya on Wednesday.

"There is nothing new on Rahul Gandhi or Priyanka Gandhi's position on the issue. They are following the Congress' soft Hindutva agenda. There is no element of surprise," Vijayan said.

Further, Vijayan said that CPI(M) Politburo had made clear the party's viewpoint on the Ayodhya temple construction.

"When it comes to Ayodhya issue. I want to ask who had allowed worship there. It was Congress. Who had allowed to lay the idol there? It was Congress. 

Who gave permission to Karseva? It was Congress. Even when it came to demolition of Babri Masjid too who shut their eyes and gave a silent nod for it- wasn't it the Congress regime at the centre? And Muslim League (IUML) was part of it. These are all part of our history," said Kerala Chief Minister.

He said instead of involving in discussions on it, more time should be utilised towards containing the COVID-19 spread in the country and helping the poor who are suffering due to the pandemic.

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News Network
May 4,2020

Munbai/New Delhi, May 4: India expects bad debts at its banks could double after the coronavirus crisis brought the economy to a sudden halt, a senior government official and four top bankers said.

Indian banks are already grappling with 9.35 trillion rupees ($123 billion) of soured loans, which was equivalent to about 9.1% of their total assets at the end of September 2019.

"There is a considered view in the government that bank non-performing assets (NPAs) could double to 18-20% by the end of the fiscal year, as 20-25% of outstanding loans face a risk of default," the official with direct knowledge of the matter said.

A fresh surge in bad debt could hit credit growth and delay India's recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.

"These are unprecedented times and the way it's going we can expect banks to report double the amount of NPAs from what we've seen in earlier quarters," the finance head of a top public sector bank told Reuters.

The official and bankers declined to be named as they were not officially authorized to discuss the matter with media.

India's finance ministry declined to comment, while the Reserve Bank of India and Indian Banks' Association, the main industry body, did not immediately respond to emails seeking comment.

The Indian economy has ground to a standstill amid a 40-day nationwide lockdown to rein in the spread of coronavirus cases.

The lockdown has now been extended by a further two weeks, but the government has begun to ease some restrictions in districts that are relatively unscathed by the virus.

India has so far recorded nearly 40,000 cases of the coronavirus and more than 1,300 deaths from COVID-19, the respiratory disease caused by the coronavirus.

'RIDING THE TIGER'

Bankers fear it is unlikely that the economy will fully open up before June or July, and loans, especially those to small- and medium-sized businesses which constitute nearly 20% of overall credit, may be among the worst affected.

This is because all 10 of India's largest cities fall in high-risk red zones, where restrictions will remain stringent.

A report by Axis Bank said that these red zones, which contribute significantly to India's economy, account for roughly 83% of the overall loans made by its banks as of December.

One of the sources, an executive director of a public sector bank, said that economic growth had been sluggish and risks had been heightened, even ahead of the coronavirus crisis.

"Now we have this Black Swan event which means without any meaningful government stimulus, the economy will be in tatters for several more quarters," he said.

McKinsey & Co last month forecast India's economy could contract by around 20% in the three months through June, if the lockdown was extended to mid-May, and growth in the fiscal year was likely to fall 2% to 3%.

Bankers say the only way to stem the steep rise in bad loans is if the RBI significantly relaxes bad asset recognition rules.

Banks have asked the central bank to allow all loans to be categorized as NPAs only after 180 days, which is double the current 90-day window.

"The lockdown is like riding the tiger, once we get off it we'll be in a difficult position," a senior private sector banker said.

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