New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
PUTTIDINA JOKULEG YER NINNA AMME TUPENA
Let us start with Ur Master.
This KKB again started to B--k
Why people cast their valuable vote in favor to this uncultured mannerless creatures. Most of the elected mp's are with same attitude and mind set. For our unite India all should kick them out from country like India.
KKB - KUTTE KA BACCHA.
during partition muslims in India was 36% and part of them migrated , so now decreased to 15%.. hindus in pakistan migrated to India , still migrating , hindu population might have decreased there also....even then minority hindus enjoying reservation in politics , education . etc
Here is one more....these BJP leaders are out of mind. Someone is saying change the religion (Ghar wapsi) and someone is asking to go to pakistan someone wants hindus to show their mardangi. Rubbish ppl with fools followers
good news for modi and baba ramdev......
U start the lead, let followers take your step
Vegans are deficient in many important nutrients like Vit B12, Creatine. Studies shows that Vegetarians have much lower levels of Testosterone than their meat eating counterparts
There was a time when the enemies of mankind spread the LIES of accessive Population is harmful to earth and they spread the fear & introduced \hum do hamare do\". --- We see the results that most of those who never read about \"the revelation of God who gave the life\" have been trapped in this depopulation situation and NOW they are forcing their community to make children... without any financial aid.
ALLAH the creator of all that exists speaks about the life and death of every thing that he created..
one ayat of quran below: (17:31)
Do not kill your children for FEAR of POVERTY. We will provide for them and for YOU. Surely killing them is a great sin...
Those who trusted God never fall trap to such fear....
At that time and even now Many abortion took place to live a worldly enjoyment but in their old age people desired that they had many childrens... which they regret of not having 3 or more children..
Dont forget, India and China with most population are the most fast growing economy today.. Nothing to feel ashamed... only the ruling few will put fear on the people to control their evil agenda.."
have beef consumption .....for population increment
Raj Takre did not oppose our players to play against Pakistan hokey match in KL....HYPOCRISY....
India's population is 1.5 Billion......can India afford another 1.5 billion....to build Ram Temple....these are politicians gimmick to cheat poor innocent voters....very sad....
First eat madam posts and cashews....ha haa.....and ask for strong guns....
Giri babu
How many children U have or How much children U planned? Let the Cheddi members know that ...
It is hard to follow cos most of our leaders are just barking and no action..
our PM needs to reconcile with his partner
Cheddi Bachelors club - needs to search for partners even in old age to reach this target...
We need some leaders with action not blah blah...
If 76% Population is of Hindus, 24% Muslims!!! which is = 100%, then what about christian, Jain, Sikhs, Buddhists & Atheist?????
Mathematical Error Mr. Giriraj Singh.. You don't know simple maths and you are the Union Minister for the State.!!!! STRANGE....
Dikhao yaar. Mardaangi hai to.
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