New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
He is a rss feeded dog started bark again. No guts to earn by self confidence or by ability and now likcking desh drohi rss feet.
A shame and insult to mankind.
ask him how much money paid for the munaafiq. he is not muslim ,that is why barking .
If i speak logic, i would say suspend these stupid publicity stunt-men
Dear Reshma, i am sorry to learn that you are following this rotten egg. He is a waste in our community and we have kicked out him. He is shoe lickers of sangh parivar and i am sorry to say that if you too like it go with him. He has no right to give this comment. Madrasas are not his father's property. By the way this waste Rizvi is kicked out by his community also and even his parents are ashamed of giving birth to such a rotten egg. This rotten egg Rizvi is follower of Devil and has no respect to any one including hiw own parents. If you still praise him, i think you better consult any Doctor.
do his statements are based on any reports, muslims may agree... ISIS idealogy spread not thru madrasa education but online education without any proper guidance of ulemas (knowledgable person with islamic scriptures). proper Madrasa education may eradicate ISIS idealogy... these soulless shia idealogues with the help of zeonists , capitalists and fascists , want to promote ISIS.. that is reason , they are demanding to shut down madrasa system.
Yogi's slave. We cant excpet more than this from him
Well said sir. Should shut all madrasas
Bitter Truth
This man seems to be good. He told the truth. Should shut down all madrasas. They are injecting unwanted education
The Ashram from wherre you learned should be shut first. Because you are the number one criminal, corrupted, communal terrorist.
This fool should be hanged for his illogic statements.
Who the hell this creature Rizvi to talk about Madrasas. Are Madrasas run by his Father's help. Bull shit. Let him go to hell. He is chappa licker of sangh parivar and appeasing central Govt by giving illogic, illegal and unworthy statements criticisign Muslims only to hide looting of crores of rupees from wakf board. He is a thug and looter. He is not a Muslim and has no right to talk about Madrasas. This hate monger should be dragged out to street and garlanded with old chappals and shoes. He is kicked by his own community for his cheating them. He is being funded by sangh parivar for his wrong doings and illegal activities. Police should dig out his past history and income.
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