New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Dear Ravi Shankar, where were u when hundreds of muslim women were butchered in Gujarat, why cant you give justice to Ahsaan Jafry wife, where is Najeeb and why are u closing eyes while Najeeb's mom is requesting for justice. You are a crocodile and Lomli. You have already fooled Naqwi + Shahnawaz and trying to fool others also. You will not get success in this. You are a hypocrite and opportunist. You may marry those women who are contacting you regarding the issue as they are not respecting Islam and may be ready to marry you.
First give justice to Mrs.Jaffery for burning her husband alive. Give justice to honorable MP E. Ahmed's family for disrespecting his death.
In islam women's are getting more respect,dignity and protection than any other religion. Study religion of islam in its right path then you will understand the beauty of Islam.
Mr. Shankar, let us discuss about this subject after UP election....not a nice time...you are speaking just to grab votes from muslim women....
Mr.Shanker say our PM to respect his wife first nd then say our party to respect women. I think you forget Mangalore pub issue. Everyone respect women. No one is perfect here.
Wonderful Masterjee, which part of the world you had been, bap ray bap Are you Law minister of Hindustan??? so first you learn Hindustan ruling Law, do not try to Implement Your RSS Goonda criminal Law in our beautiful Hindustan, at least you became Law minister to Implement the Law not to break and create problem around Hindustan, now understood that you are afraid to face Uttar Pradesh election, that's why all these bulsh*ts coming up.
Masterjee no chance papa Crimes are increasing loot pat increasing... nothing else to do... so coming to resolve Triple Talaq!!!!!
That's not your business.
Jai hoo Modianna.
Jai hoo Siddanna.
First secure your slipping seats and majority due to people's frustration.......then talk about Tripple talaq......one thing you listen you son of HITLER......when you follow HITLER's footstep it also reminds his END
because you are challenging GOD\s law.....not your man made Manu vad or man made stories...."
Dear Mr. Ravi shankar, this is just for Election Gimmick u cant able handle , jaag utenge indian Muslims ........... be careful
Wrong practice by Muslims has open the doors to Kafirs to interfere in our religious matters ....
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