New Delhi, Jun 26: With looming uncertainty and no likelihood of an early economic recovery in sight, the bull run in gold prices is here to stay. Analysts expect domestic futures to touch ₹ 52,000 per 10 grams in the next few months, till Diwali.
Experts also predict that with the current trend, gold may reach historic levels around ₹ 65,000 per 10 grams in two years time.
Futures of the yellow metal have touched new highs in India off late. On Wednesday, the August contract of gold futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) touched an all-time high of Rs 48,589 per 10 grams.
It has, however corrected since and is currently trading at ₹ 48,057 on the MCX, higher by ₹ 116 or 0.24 per cent from its previous close.
Market experts are of the view that both domestic and international gold prices are yet not done breaching records and will touch new highs in days to come.
The resurgence in the number of new cases of coronavirus infection across the globe has added to the uncertainty and fears.
Speaking to media persons, Anuj Gupta, DVP for Commodities and Currencies Research at Angel Broking, noted: "In short term we are expecting it to reach ₹ 48,800-49,000 and for long term, we are expecting ₹ 51,000-Rs 52,000 till Diwali."
On the prices in the international market, he said that it may reach around $1,790 per ounce in the near term from the current levels of $1,762 and the long term, it is likely to be around $1,820-1,850 per ounce.
Gupta noted that with International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest downward revision of economic outlook, both global and of India, and the rising number of cases and high demand by gold exchange traded funds (ETF) have led to this record breaking rise in gold prices.
Covid-19 battered India's economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent this fiscal, according to the IMF and the global output is projected to decline by 4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the IMF's April forecast.
Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Financial Services, said that gold's safe haven appeal will remain on the higher side as there is little hope of a quick global economic recovery amid rising virus cases across the world.
"Increased geopolitical instability and an under-performing dollar also lift the metal's sentiments," he added.
According to Prathamesh Mallya, AVP Research, Non-Agro Commodities & Currencies at Angel Broking, said that with the global output to contract and the economies in a deeper recession than most anticipate, gold as an asset class is a safe bet for investors across the globe.
"Although, the physical demand has declined drastically due to the restrictions and lockdowns, the activity of global central banks and their net purchases of gold signal that uncertainty will continue for most of 2020," he said.
He was also of the view that in the international market price of the metal may move towards $1,850 per ounce and in the domestic market it is likely to move higher towards Rs 50,000 per 10 grams.
"The investment demand as seen in the net additions of ETF holdings also signals that gold will shine for a much longer time even if the pandemic is under control. Till then, keep buying gold, if not in physical form, but in digital form," Mallya added.
Industry insiders like Aditya Pethe, Director, WHP Jewellers said: "I basically feel that the current trend for the gold is bullish and for the coming next 2 years, it is likely to move upwards. No one can predict the exact price as currently the trend is on rise but it might change after 6 months. In general for the coming 6 months to one year, the gold prices are likely to cross $2,000 which comes to roughly Rs 55,000. For a temporary moment it may reduce, basically fluctuate as well but overall trend of gold is going to be bullish."
On his part, Ishu Datwani, Founder, Anmol Jewellers said: "Yes - it's very likely that the gold price could easily go up to Rs 60,000-Rs 65,000 in the next two years. There is also a possibility of it going up even more."
"A lot of banks have been buying gold and there is also a possibility that the Indian rupee will depreciate against the dollar. This and geopolitical reasons will cause bullishness in gold."
Comments
Nothing to say ! Everything is in the name of Dargha fights route cause is Un-Islamic.
Wrong people of the RIGHT-RELIGION.
Desecrating grave and Ullal Kazi khoora Thangal and SSF electing a rowdy who spending night at bar as Darga president against majority wishes
these two example enough for how low people can go for Darga business
lock down darga to save people from hell fire
really inhuman incident. must be hanged whoever made this crime.
These people trying to take advantage of Minister's patience. May Almighty Allah rest in peace his parents. Aameen
either minister or common people , writings on graves , building permanent structures not allowed in islam, muslims should avoid it... people can not show their anger by destroying such things, or degrading graves... only fools and ignorant muslims only can do such things... those fighting for power, should understand that you are fighting for unlawful money , dargha itself is un islamic thing for muslims... Prophet Muhammed (pbuh) ordered to destroy such dargahs, muslims also follow that way only...
what UT Khader did now, this people fighting for dargah's president ship. and damaging ut khader's parents graves is different issue.
as Monu Borkala said,
the above incident clearly says Dargah business is very profitable and it does not have any islamic background, and i must say that for money this type of people will kill anybody and do above incident further,
inhuman can do this crime. totally i must say its wrong. for all of us parents means its like a god to us, for the memory we build their grave, it feels like they are with us, damaging grave is like playing with emotions.
Whoever did this job is highly condemnable at the same time being a well wisher of U.T.Khader we are expecting our Minister to act fairly in the trouble unfolding in Ullal dargah. He is taking wrong side by siding with SSF people against the wishes of people of Ullal. It was clear by recent election to Dargah Committee majority of 27 out of 49 members elected a president instead of supporting people verdict sending government official of waqf at mid night to lock the Dargah chamber is highly condemnable.
UT Khader's big Fan, this must be a work of SDPI, if dog bark on the street let them bark, we should not think about it.
khader sir we are with you, whatever damage they have done to you the same in other way they will go through it.
Dont worry khader bhai, not a big deal to build a newer one. let this dogs go to the hell.
sad news, whatever the issue is touching someone's grave is totally wrong. i can proudly shout \humanity lost\"."
the above incident clearly says Dargah business is very profitable and it does not have any islamic background
catch those mad dogs and grave them in road.
UT khader's father was a great man he sacrificed so much to the society. this is clearly a horrible violence.
this is totally wrong, the politician or common man. should not touch the grave of the parents, some mad dogs did this
Devotees? These are humans with the worst order. And they want to take iver management of a dargah... obviously for corrupt purpose. #Shame
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