The ILO has warned that if another Covid-19 wave hits in the second half of 2020, there would be global working-hour loss of 11.9 percent - equivalent to the loss of 340 million full-time jobs.
According to the 5th edition of International Labour Organisation (ILO) Monitor: Covid-19 and the world of work, the recovery in the global labour market for the rest of the year will be uncertain and incomplete.
The report said that there was a 14 percent drop in global working hours during the second quarter of 2020, equivalent to the loss of 400 million full-time jobs.
The number of working hours lost across the world in the first half of 2020 was significantly worse than previously estimated. The highly uncertain recovery in the second half of the year will not be enough to go back to pre-pandemic levels even in the best scenario, the agency warned.
The baseline model – which assumes a rebound in economic activity in line with existing forecasts, the lifting of workplace restrictions and a recovery in consumption and investment – projects a decrease in working hours of 4.9 percent (equivalent to 140 million full-time jobs) compared to last quarter of 2019.
It says that in the pessimistic scenario, the situation in the second half of 2020 would remain almost as challenging as in the second quarter.
“Even if one assumes better-tailored policy responses – thanks to the lessons learned throughout the first half of the year – there would still be a global working-hour loss of 11.9 per cent at the end of 2020, or 340 million full-time jobs, relative to the fourth quarter of 2019,” it said.
The pessimistic scenario assumes a second pandemic wave and the return of restrictions that would significantly slow recovery. The optimistic scenario assumes that workers’ activities resume quickly, significantly boosting aggregate demand and job creation. With this exceptionally fast recovery, the global loss of working hours would fall to 1.2 per cent (34 million full-time jobs).
The agency said that under the three possible scenarios for recovery in the next six months, “none” sees the global job situation in better shape than it was before lockdown measures began.
“This is why we talk of an uncertain but incomplete recovery even in the best of scenarios for the second half of this year. So there is not going to be a simple or quick recovery,” ILO Director-General Guy Ryder said.
The new figures reflect the worsening situation in many regions over the past weeks, especially in developing economies. Regionally, working time losses for the second quarter were: Americas (18.3 percent), Europe and Central Asia (13.9 percent), Asia and the Pacific (13.5 percent), Arab States (13.2 percent), and Africa (12.1 percent).
The vast majority of the world’s workers (93 per cent) continue to live in countries with some sort of workplace closures, with the Americas experiencing the greatest restrictions.
During the first quarter of the year, an estimated 5.4 percent of global working hours (equivalent to 155 million full-time jobs) were lost relative to the fourth quarter of 2019. Working- hour losses for the second quarter of 2020 relative to the last quarter of 2019 are estimated to reach 14 per cent worldwide (equivalent to 400 million full-time jobs), with the largest reduction (18.3 per cent) occurring in the Americas.
The ILO Monitor also found that women workers have been disproportionately affected by the pandemic, creating a risk that some of the modest progress on gender equality made in recent decades will be lost, and that work-related gender inequality will be exacerbated.
The severe impact of Covid-19 on women workers relates to their over-representation in some of the economic sectors worst affected by the crisis, such as accommodation, food, sales and manufacturing.
Globally, almost 510 million or 40 percent of all employed women work in the four most affected sectors, compared to 36.6 percent of men, it said.
The report said that women also dominate in the domestic work and health and social care work sectors, where they are at greater risk of losing their income and of infection and transmission and are also less likely to have social protection.
The pre-pandemic unequal distribution of unpaid care work has also worsened during the crisis, exacerbated by the closure of schools and care services.
Even as countries have adopted policy measures with unprecedented speed and scope, the ILO Monitor highlights some key challenges ahead, including finding the right balance and sequencing of health, economic and social and policy interventions to produce optimal sustainable labour market outcomes; implementing and sustaining policy interventions at the necessary scale when resources are likely to be increasingly constrained and protecting and promoting the conditions of vulnerable, disadvantaged and hard-hit groups to make labour markets fairer and more equitable.
“The decisions we adopt now will echo in the years to come and beyond 2030. Although countries are at different stages of the pandemic and a lot has been done, we need to redouble our efforts if we want to come out of this crisis in a better shape than when it started,” Ryder said.
Comments
Really feeling sad for both of them. This is indeed a tragedy.
ನನ್ನ ಮಗ ತುಂಬಾ ಪಾಪ, ಅಮ್ಮ ನಾನು ಕೆಲಸಕ್ಕೆ ಗಲ್ಫ್ ಗೆ ಹೋಗುತ್ತೇನೆ ಎಂದಿದ್ದ, ನಾನೇ ಬೇಡ ಎಂದು ತಪ್ಪು ಮಾಡಿದೆ, - ದೀಪಕ್ ರಾವ್ ತಾಯಿಯ ಮಾತು RT ريبورتر ನನ್ನ ಅಪ್ಪ ಗಲ್ಫಲ್ಲಿದ್ದರು..ಅವರಿಗೆ ಊರಲ್ಲಿ ಸೆಟ್ಲ್ ಆಗುವುದು ಇಷ್ಟವಿರಲಿಲ್ಲ..ಆದರೂ ನಮ್ಮ ಒತ್ತಾಯದ ಮೇರೆಗೆ ಕಳೆದ ಒಂದು ವರ್ಷದಿಂದ ಪಾಸ್ಟ್ ಫುಡ್ ಅಂಗಡಿ ನಡೆಸುತ್ತಿದ್ದರು.. ಬಷೀರ್ ರವರ ಮಗ.. whats app feed!
Really Felt heart broke to read this.
ಇನ್ನಾಲಿಲ್ಲಾಹ್, ಅಲ್ಲಾಹುಮ್ಮಗ್ಫಿರ್ಲಹು ವರ್ಹಮ್ಹು...ಆಮೀನ್
Who ever it may be Deepak Rao,Basheer the loss and the pain stand in front of their dependents and not in from of any hate mongers criminal politicians o or with their followers. Normal citizens are really suffering.
Now th time has come in from of all Mangloreans to stand together join hand in hand to kick out these anti communal groups and their supporters. After all we the surroundings to share our apin and grevience with our neigbhours. No one leader from any party will come to help us.
Be unite and stand for our safety first and love each other and share our daily life with our respective neighbours. 100% God's blessings always there lead peace ful life.
Then these political goons will Na Ghar Ka Na Ghar Ka.
ನನ್ನ ಮಗ ಗಲ್ಫ್ ಗೆ ಕೆಲಸ ಕ್ಕೆ ಹೋಗುತ್ತಿದ್ದರೆ ಉಳಿಯುತ್ತಿದ್ದನೋ ಏನೋ? ( ದೀಪಕ್ ರವರ ತಾಯಿ)
ನನ್ನ ತಂದೆ ಗಲ್ಪ್ ನಲ್ಲಿ ಇದ್ದಿದ್ದರೆ ಹೀಗೆ ಆಗುತ್ತಿರಲಿಲ್ಲವೋ ಏನೋ? (ಬಶೀರ್ ರವರ ಮಗ)
ಸಾಮಾನ್ಯ ಭಾರತೀಯರಿಗೆ ತನ್ನ ಸ್ವಂತ ದೇಶದಲ್ಲಿ ಅಭದ್ರತೆಯನ್ನು ಸೃಷ್ಟಿಸಿದ ಈ ಪರಿಸ್ಥಿತಿಗೆ ಕಾರಣ ಕರ್ತರು ಯಾರು? ನಾವು ಆಲೋಚಿಸಬೇಕಾಗಿದೆ.
Inna Lillahi Wa Inna Ilayhi Raaji'oon
"ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ಮೈ ಮುಟ್ಟಿದರೆ ಜಾಗ್ರತೆ..." ಸವಾಲೆಸೆದ ಅಮಾಯಕ ಬಶೀರ್ ಇನ್ನಿಲ್ಲ ____________ 1993 ರಲ್ಲಿ ದ.ಕ.ಜಿಲ್ಲೆ ಕೋಮು ದಳ್ಳುರಿಗೆ ಸಿಲುಕಿತ್ತು. ಸೌದಿ ಅರೇಬಿಯಾಕ್ಕೂ ಇದರ ಬಿಸಿ ತಾಗಿತ್ತು. ಕೆಲ ಮುಸ್ಲಿಮರು ಆ ಸಮಯದಲ್ಲಿ ಸೌದಿಯಲ್ಲಿ ಕೆಲಸ ನಿರ್ವಹಿಸುತ್ತಿದ್ದ ಮಂಗಳೂರಿನ ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ಮೇಲೆ ದಾಳಿಗೆ ಮುಂದಾದರು. ಆಗ ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ಗೆ ರಕ್ಷಣೆ ನೀಡಿ "ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ನಮ್ಮವನು. ಅವನ ಮೈ ಮುಟ್ಟಿದರೆ ಜಾಗ್ರತೆ..." ಎಂದು ಹೇಳಿ ರಕ್ಷಿಸಿದವರು ಮತ್ಯಾರೂ ಅಲ್ಲ. ಕೊಟ್ಟಾರ ಚೌಕಿಯಲ್ಲಿ ಧರ್ಮಾಂಧರ ಮಚ್ಚಿನೇಟಿಗೆ ಸಿಲುಕಿ ಇಂದು ಆಸ್ಪತ್ರೆಯಲ್ಲಿ ನಿಧನರಾದ ಇದೇ ಬಶೀರ್. ಮಂಗಳೂರಿನ ಆಕಾಶಭವನದ ಜನರಿಗೆ ಬಶೀರ್ ಎಂದರೆ ತುಂಬಾ ಪ್ರೀತಿ. ಬಶೀರ್ ತನ್ನೂರಿನ ಪರೋಪಕಾರಿ. ಹಿಂದೂ, ಮುಸ್ಲಿಮ್ ಎನ್ನದೆ ಎಲ್ಲರೊಂದಿಗೆ ಬೆರೆಯುವವರು. ಸೌದಿಯಲ್ಲಿದ್ದಾಗ ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ಮತ್ತು ಬಶೀರ್ ಒಂದೇ ತಟ್ಟೆಯಲ್ಲಿ ಉಂಡವರು. ಪ್ರಭಾಕರ್ ಕುಟುಂಬ ಊರಲ್ಲಿ ಸಂಕಷ್ಟದಲ್ಲಿದ್ದಾಗ ಅವರ ತಾಯಿ ಚಿಕಿತ್ಸೆಗೆ ಬಶೀರ್ ಎಷ್ಟೋ ಬಾರಿ ಆರ್ಥಿಕ ಸಹಾಯ ಚಾಚಿದ್ದಾರೆ. ಧರ್ಮ, ಜಾತಿ ನೋಡದೆ ಯಾರೇ ಸಹಾಯ ಯಾಚಿಸಿದರೂ ಬಶೀರ್ ಇಲ್ಲ ಎಂದವರಲ್ಲ. ಧರ್ಮ ಮೀರಿ ನಿಂತ ಈ ಹಸನ್ಮುಖಿ ಬಶೀರ್ ಗೆ ಎಂಥಾ ಶಿಕ್ಷೆ? ಕಾಟಿಪಳ್ಳ ದೀಪಕ್ ಕೊಲೆಗೆ ಪ್ರತೀಕಾರವಾಗಿ ಅದೇ ದಿನ ರಾತ್ರಿ ಕೊಟ್ಟಾರಚೌಕಿಯಲ್ಲಿ ಅಮಾಯಕ ಆಕಾಶಭವನದ ಬಶೀರ್ ಗೆ ಮತಾಂಧರು ಗಂಭೀರವಾಗಿ ಹಲ್ಲೆ ಮಾಡಿದ್ದರು. ಜೀವನ್ಮರಣ ಹೋರಾಟದಲ್ಲಿದ್ದ ಬಶೀರ್ ಇಂದು ದೇವರ ಅನುಲ್ಲಂಘನೀಯ ವಿಧಿಗೆ ವಿದೇಯರಾದರು. ಪರೋಪಕಾರಿ ಬಶೀರ್ ಅಮರರಾದರು. 25 ವರ್ಷಗಳ ಕಾಲ ವಿದೇಶದಲ್ಲಿ ದುಡಿದು ಕಳೆದೊಂದು ವರ್ಷದಿಂದ ಮಂಗಳೂರಲ್ಲಿ ಫಾಸ್ಟ್ ಫುಡ್ ವ್ಯಾಪಾರ ಮಾಡುತ್ತಾ ಬದುಕು ಕಟ್ಟಿಕೊಳ್ಳುತ್ತಿದ್ದ ಬಶೀರ್ ಇಹಲೋಕ ತ್ಯಜಿಸಿ ಕರಾವಳಿಯನ್ನು ದುಖದ ಕಡಲಲ್ಲಿ ಮುಳುಗಿಸಿದ್ದಾರೆ. ಬಶೀರ್ ನನ್ನು ಉಳಿಸಲು ಉಪವಾಸ, ಪ್ರಾರ್ಥನೆ, ಕುರ್ಆನ್ ಪಠಣ ನಿರ್ವಹಿಸಿದ ಪತ್ನಿ, ಮಕ್ಕಳು, ಕುಟುಂಬಿಕರು, ಸ್ನೇಹಿತರ ಪ್ರಯತ್ನ ಇಹಲೋಕದಲ್ಲಿ ಸಫಲವಾಗಿಲ್ಲವಾದರೂ ಪರಲೋಕದಲ್ಲಿ ಪ್ರತಿಫಲ ಸಿಕ್ಕೀತು. 48 ರ ಹರೆಯದ ಬಶೀರ್ ಸ್ವರ್ಗಸ್ಥರಾಗಲಿ, ಅವರ ಕುಟುಂಬಕ್ಕೆ ದುಖ ಸಹಿಸುವ ಶಕ್ತಿಯನ್ನು ಅಲ್ಲಾಹನು ನೀಡಲಿ. ಹತ್ಯೆಗೈದ ದುಷ್ಕರ್ಮಿಗಳಿಗೆ ದೇವರು ತಕ್ಕ ಶಿಕ್ಷೆ ನೀಡಲಿ. -ರಶೀದ್ ವಿಟ್ಲ.
Inna Lillahi Wa Inna Ilayhi Raaji'oon, i request all my muslim brother to stay calm and pray for his family. let this end here no more fight pls.
Inna Lillahi Wa Inna Ilayhi Raaji'oon
To Allah we belong and to Him is our return!
ارقد في سلام
this s peace loving country, we really dont want to c this blood anymore, govt should punish this goons properly they should not come outside till death. if they come outside they will spread more hatred.
Now because of three murderers each and every one of the community should be blamed
, strict law should be imposed to tackle communal fight, infront of everyone this murderers should be stoned. best solution.
world will be lost if revenge is to murder.
Really Sad! this cannot be a answer for Deepak Rao murder, just mom lost her son, and wife lost her husband, only loss to the families. some 10% of terrorist wont understand this.
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