Fin sector jobs to be lost to mergers, tech & cost pressures

February 24, 2017

Feb 24: A permanent job with a nationalised bank. Until a few months ago, being employed with a public sector bank was a matter of pride and drew the choicest wedding proposals. Unfortunately, that position is losing its lustre as it may no longer be a job for life.

jobsAfter its associate banks are merged into the State Bank of India (SBI), about 200,000 jobs could be cut, said CH Venkatachalam, General Secretary, All India Bank Employees Association (AIBEA).

Human resource officials said that this is still a conservative number. With automation, the numbers could double. Voluntary retirement offers are expected to climb steeply not only in SBI associate banks but also in other public sector banks.

This is not a problem restricted to only SBI and associates. The number of senior executives being asked to take voluntary retirement in PSU banks has seen a 25 percent jump over the last two years.

“The competition between public sector and private sector banks has intensified in the last one to two years. PSU banks, which were shy of going digital, are getting into this game in a big way. Naturally, we would want more niche talent for such roles and they don"t come cheap,” said the general manager of a mid-size public sector bank.

Many skill sets of cash managers and those in branches have become redundant, making their positions vulnerable.

Aditya Narayan Mishra, CEO, CIEL HR Services, said that the opportunities for reskilling are also limited in banks. This means that a large portion of the clerical staff which were once the core strength of banks are no longer required.

“Rather than reskilling existing operations staff, banks are choosing to hire more younger job-ready talent,” he said. As per estimates, almost 500,000 clerical jobs will be replaced by automated processes.

Customers have also opted to keep branch visits to the bare minimum. Hence, branch banking, which had 60-65 percent of total bank staff, will soon have 15-20 percent fewer people in the next three years. Approximately, 100,000 jobs in branch banking will go missing in the next three to four years.

Banks setting up robots may not lead to jobs getting cut immediately, but over 12-24 months, recruiters said, cuts are bound to happen.

Mishra said that compared to earlier times, automation has led to private banks cutting down branch banking costs. This translates to job cuts across their branch networks.

As younger talent is becoming the need of the hour, many banks want older staff, who are often not tech-savvy, to leave. The younger staff also come cheaper, resulting in useful savings.

“Employees who have crossed 45 and are being asked to quit have fewer options since banks only want 23-25 year-olds,” said a senior HR head.

The situation is no better in other segments like insurance where regulatory whip on managing expenses has forced companies to trim down teams across roles. Positions in teams like investment and top management are now also being reviewed on a quarterly basis and those who are off targets are constantly put under watch.

The big foreign investment numbers are no longer coming in. Insurers have opted for cost-cutting through letting go of people and having smaller teams.

Company executives said that with even the debt market getting volatile, churn in investment teams in insurers and mutual funds has been high. This, they said, is expected to continue even this year.

Rather than having big investment teams, numbers are being gradually cut to 4-5 people to look into daily trading. Smaller insurers are the worst hit since the new norms on expenses of management mean that salary costs would have to be drastically reduced.

Further, with mergers of insurance companies also on the anvil, consequent job losses are certain, though they would come with a lag.

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News Network
April 17,2020

Paris, Apr 17: Even as virologists zero in on the virus that causes COVID-19, a very basic question remains unanswered: do those who recover from the disease have immunity?

There is no clear answer to this question, experts say, even if many have assumed that contracting the potentially deadly disease confers immunity, at least for a while.

"Being immunised means that you have developed an immune response against a virus such that you can repulse it," explained Eric Vivier, a professor of immunology in the public hospital system in Marseilles.

"Our immune systems remember, which normally prevents you from being infected by the same virus later on."

For some viral diseases such a measles, overcoming the sickness confers immunity for life.

But for RNA-based viruses such as Sars-Cov-2 -- the scientific name for the bug that causes the COVID-19 disease -- it takes about three weeks to build up a sufficient quantity of antibodies, and even then they may provide protection for only a few months, Vivier told AFP.

At least that is the theory. In reality, the new coronavirus has thrown up one surprise after another, to the point where virologists and epidemiologists are sure of very little.

"We do not have the answers to that -- it's an unknown," Michael Ryan, executive director of the World Health Organization's Emergencies Programme said in a press conference this week when asked how long a recovered COVID-19 patient would have immunity.

"We would expect that to be a reasonable period of protection, but it is very difficult to say with a new virus -- we can only extrapolate from other coronaviruses, and even that data is quite limited."

For SARS, which killed about 800 people across the world in 2002 and 2003, recovered patients remained protected "for about three years, on average," Francois Balloux director of the Genetics Institute at University College London, said.

"One can certainly get reinfected, but after how much time? We'll only know retroactively."

A recent study from China that has not gone through peer review reported on rhesus monkeys that recovered from Sars-Cov-2 and did not get reinfected when exposed once again to the virus.

"But that doesn't really reveal anything," said Pasteur Institute researcher Frederic Tangy, noting that the experiment unfolded over only a month.

Indeed,several cases from South Korea -- one of the first countries hit by the new coronavirus -- found that patients who recovered from COVID-19 later tested positive for the virus.

But there are several ways to explain that outcome, scientists cautioned.

While it is not impossible that these individuals became infected a second time, there is little evidence this is what happened.

More likely, said Balloux, is that the virus never completely disappeared in the first place and remains -- dormant and asymptomatic -- as a "chronic infection", like herpes.

As tests for live virus and antibodies have not yet been perfected, it is also possible that these patients at some point tested "false negative" when in fact they had not rid themselves of the pathogen.

"That suggests that people remain infected for a long time -- several weeks," Balloux added. "That is not ideal."

Another pre-publication study that looked at 175 recovered patients in Shanghai showed different concentrations of protective antibodies 10 to 15 days after the onset of symptoms.

"But whether that antibody response actually means immunity is a separate question," commented Maria Van Kerhove, Technical Lead of the WHO Emergencies Programme.

"That's something we really need to better understand -- what does that antibody response look like in terms of immunity."

Indeed, a host of questions remain.

"We are at the stage of asking whether someone who has overcome COVID-19 is really that protected," said Jean-Francois Delfraissy, president of France's official science advisory board.

For Tangy, an even grimmer reality cannot be excluded.

"It is possible that the antibodies that someone develops against the virus could actually increase the risk of the disease becoming worse," he said, noting that the most serious symptoms come later, after the patient had formed antibodies.

For the moment, it is also unclear whose antibodies are more potent in beating back the disease: someone who nearly died, or someone with only light symptoms or even no symptoms at all. And does age make a difference?

Faced with all these uncertainties, some experts have doubts about the wisdom of persuing a "herd immunity" strategy such that the virus -- unable to find new victims -- peters out by itself when a majority of the population is immune.

"The only real solution for now is a vaccine," Archie Clements, a professor at Curtin University in Perth Australia, told AFP.

At the same time, laboratories are developing a slew of antibody tests to see what proportion of the population in different countries and regions have been contaminated.

Such an approach has been favoured in Britain and Finland, while in Germany some experts have floated the idea of an "immunity passport" that would allow people to go back to work.

"It's too premature at this point," said Saad Omer, a professor of infectious diseases at the Yale School of Medicine.

"We should be able to get clearer data very quickly -- in a couple of months -- when there will be reliable antibody tests with sensitivity and specificity."

One concern is "false positives" caused by the tests detecting antibodies unrelated to COVID-19.

The idea of immunity passports or certificates also raises ethical questions, researchers say.

"People who absolutely need to work -- to feed their families, for example -- could try to get infected," Balloux.

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News Network
July 9,2020

U.S. electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc is "very close" to achieving level 5 autonomous driving technology, Chief Executive Elon Musk said on Thursday, referring to the capability to navigate roads without any driver input.

"I'm extremely confident that level 5 or essentially complete autonomy will happen and I think will happen very quickly," Musk said in remarks made via a video message at the opening of Shanghai's annual World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC).

"I remain confident that we will have the basic functionality for level 5 autonomy complete this year."

Automakers and tech companies including Alphabet Inc Waymo and Uber Technologies are investing billions in the autonomous driving industry.

However industry insiders have said it would take time for the technology to get ready and public to trust autonomous vehicles fully.

The California-based automaker currently builds cars with an Autopilot driver-assistance system.

Tesla is also developing new heat-projection or cooling systems to enable more advanced computers in cars, Musk said.

Industry data showed Tesla sold nearly 15,000 China-made Model 3 sedans last month.

Tesla has become the highest-valued automaker as its shares surged to record highs and its market capitalisation overtook that of former front-runner Toyota Motors Corp.

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Agencies
February 25,2020

Tokyo, Feb 25: Japan's Chitetsu Watanabe, recognized at 112 years as the oldest man in the world, has passed away 11 days after he received the Guinness World Record certificate, his family said on Tuesday.

Watanabe died on Sunday night, Efe news reported.

He received the official certificate on February 12 at a nursing home in Joetsu in Niigata prefecture, where he resided.

Soon after being certified as the oldest man, he began to experience a lack of appetite and respiratory problems, the wife of his eldest son told public broadcaster NHK.

Born on March 5, 1907 in a family of farmers, Watanabe moved at the age of 20 to Taiwan, where he worked at a sugar refinery for 18 years before returning to Japan after the end of World War II.

A fan of calligraphy, custard and ice cream, Watanabe told the Guinness team that the key to his long life was laughter.

He was recognized as the oldest male in the world following the deaths in 2019 of German Gustav Gerneth (in October), aged 114 years, and Japan's Masazo Nonaka (in January), at the age of 113, three months older than the German.

It remains to be seen who will be recognized after the death of Watanabe, the only male on the list drawn up by the Gerontology Research Group of the 30 oldest people in the world.

Japan has among the highest life expectancy in the world and the number of centenarians in the country has crossed 71,000, according to the latest government figures.

Since 2000, the number of centenarians censored has quintupled, raising concern for the economic outlook and future workforce of the country - where the birthrate is on a downward trend.

Out of these, 88 per cent are women.

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